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Global Market Report - 30 Dec 2021

Gold Spot

Gold prices steadied above the key $1,800 per ounce level on Thursday as a weak U.S. dollar, which makes bullion attractive for holders of other currencies, balanced pressure from firm Treasury yields which erode the metal’s appeal. However, the dollar index steadied near a one-month low as investors looked beyond a surge in Omicron COVID-19 variant cases and favoured riskier currencies.

Technical Resistance: 1814/1822

Technical support: 1790/1781

Market headlines:

Economic data:                

  • 2021 Malaysia time 11:00pm – US Initial Jobless Claims

US goods trade gap hits record; pending home sales slip

The US trade deficit in goods mushroomed to the widest ever in November, as imports of consumer goods shot to a record ahead of the second straight Covid-distorted holiday shopping season along with industrial supplies, while exports slipped after a historic gain a month earlier. The goods trade gap reported Wednesday by the Commerce Department is likely to remain historically high, as long as the coronavirus pandemic continues, economists said. The emergence of the fast-spreading Omicron variant of Covid-19 that has driven US and global caseloads to a record this week may exacerbate it further in the near term, if it limits American consumers' spending on services and restokes demand for imported goods.

Dollar, yen soft in thin trading after U.S. equities hit record highs

The dollar and yen were at the low end of their recent ranges in thin holiday trading on Thursday, having fallen overnight as investors favoured riskier currencies along with equities. The moves seemed to be linked to recent improved sentiment as many governments resist imposing new, widespread lockdowns, even as the Omicron variant of the coronavirus surges. The moves in currencies were in keeping with the broader market. In keeping with the risk-on mood, the S&P 500 (.SPX) and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) closed at all-time highs on Wednesday, the latter rising for a sixth session.

Singapore GDP growth to moderate in Q4 on Omicron woes

Singapore's economic growth is expected to have moderated in the fourth quarter, partly hurt by uncertainty caused by the Omicron COVID-19 variant and analysts say the outlook for next year will hinge on the global progress made against the pandemic. Gross domestic product (GDP) is seen expanding 5.4% from the same period a year earlier, according to the median forecast of economists in a Reuters poll, marking the fourth straight quarter of growth. The economy grew 7.1% in the third quarter. Growth in the city state has been picking up this year from the damage caused by virus-related restrictions and the sluggish global economy, as countries around the world shifted their strategies to living with the coronavirus. However, the tourism hub has suspended the sale of tickets for arriving flights and buses under its quarantine-free travel programme last week as the Omicron variant spreads.

Source: Bloomberg, Investing.com, Reuters, The Edge

黄金现货

由于美国国债收益率走弱的提振抵消了风险情绪略有改善的影响,黄金价格在交易清淡中保持稳定。尽管预计明年初金价将维持在当前水平附近,但美国利率上升和通胀下降可能会打击金价。黄金的涨幅也受到美国股市上涨的限制,标准普尔 500 指数开盘创下历史新高,因为投资者仍未受到 Omicron 驱动的旅行中断和商店关闭的影响。

技术阻力:1814/1822

技术支持 :1790/1781

主要头条:

  • 中国在两个月内注入最多现金,引发债券上涨
  • 华尔街走强提振全球股市
  • 日本11月失业率升至2.8%
  • 美元兑马币交易RM 4.1713

经济数据:

  • 2021年12月 30日,马来西亚时间 11::00 pm – 美国待售房屋销售量 (MoM)(11 月)

中国在两个月内注入最多现金,引发债券上涨

由于对流动性的需求在年底前攀升,中国将向银行系统注入的短期现金增加到两个月来的最高水平。据彭博社报道,政府债券上涨。中国人民银行通过为期 7 天的逆回购协议向金融体系增加了 2000 亿元人民币(310 亿美元)现金,抵消了即将到期的 100 亿元人民币。 10 年期国债收益率跌至 2.795%,为 2020 年 6 月以来的最低水平。 央行的操作是在短期借款成本指标周一飙升一年来最大,这是银行间流动性短缺的迹象之后市场。据彭博社报道,随着银行囤积现金为监管检查做准备,现金供应在接近年底时趋于收紧。

华尔街走强提振全球股市

欧洲和亚洲股市周二小幅上涨,这得益于华尔街又一个创纪录的一天,以及英国和法国推迟在年底前实施更严格的 Covid-19 限制。从石油到股票的各种资产类别现在都接近或高于近期高点,从 11 月下旬开始回升,当时 Covid-19 的 Omicron 变体首次出现并让投资者纷纷涌入避风港。随着对新变种影响的最严重担忧消退,投资者已开始回归风险资产。

日本11月失业率升至2.8%

周二政府数据显示,日本 11 月失业率升至 2.8%,而就业机会与上月持平。经季节性调整的失业率高于 10 月份的 2.7%,路透对经济学家的调查中值预测为 2.7%。劳工部数据显示,11 月就业与求职者比率为 1.15,与上月持平,低于路透调查预测的 1.16。资料来源: Bloomberg, Investing.com, Reuters, The Edge

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